In The Three Quarter, The Textile Market Went Downhill For &Nbsp, Or The Industry Was Retreating.

According to the bulk data of the business community, the whole textile industry seems to have entered the freezing point in the third quarter.

The cotton textile industry chain, which was down by the upstream cotton prices in the early stage, fell to 20% at the lowest point. Even if there was a slight warming in the end of the season, it would undoubtedly remain at the lowest level for the cotton market.

The chemical fiber industry chain takes polyester as an example to ride a roller coaster. The upstream cost is favorable to support prices, but after mid September, many unfavorable factors highlight the industry chain.

Generally speaking, the "gold nine silver ten" phenomenon in the third quarter of the textile industry is not yet present, leading to the overall downturn in the textile industry, which is closely related to costs, supply and demand, policy decisions and the external environment.

Although textile exports increased year by year, profits fell.

With the constant changes of influencing factors, the trend of reshuffling of textile industry is coming again.

Analysis of influencing factors of textile market price in the three quarter

First, the cost factors of industrial chain.

The added value of production and the production cost also increase year by year. The rise and fall of the textile raw material market is closely related to the upstream cost.

1. chemical fiber industry chain first rising and then falling: mid September

The 2. quarter slumped cotton textile market and cocoon silk market.

Mid August was a turning point in the price fluctuation of cotton textile industry. In July, the price of upstream cotton continued to decline, and the downstream demand showed no signs of warming. It was difficult to rapidly digest the upstream inventory, and cotton enterprises' willingness to sell lower prices increased.

It was not until August that the purchasing and storage policy boosted the cotton market, cotton prices rose steadily, the downstream cotton yarn market slightly improved, and the goods did not improve significantly, but prices stabilized and the market mentality improved temporarily. The cocoon silk industry, the end of the spring cocoon and the listing of the autumn cocoon size had little effect on the summer cocoons.

Spring cocoons in June

Two. Supply and demand of textile raw materials.

1. supply situation: chemical fiber industry centralized maintenance in this quarter, and factory inventory is low.

Cotton market turnover is not obvious at present, with the new cotton market, the market will be more abundant cotton.

After the listing of spring cocoons and summer cocoons, the silk reeling plant increased production, and the supply was adequate in the three quarter. However, the export volume of products was significantly reduced in the first eight months.

2. demand situation: textile enterprises are mainly increased by labor costs, RMB appreciation, raw material prices and loan interest rates.

It is evident from the import volume.

Three, the impact of industry related policy resolutions.

1, lint collection and storage.

In September, after the lint market began to be seized,

2. factory silk storage.

Like the lint market, the state has introduced a policy of collecting and storing silk from the silk market.

In September 9, 2011, the state cocoon and silk office issued a public announcement on the acquisition of the national reserve plant silk.

It is worth mentioning that this purchase and storage is "quantitative pricing", and in this period, it is obvious that competition for cocoon and silk will also play a role in boosting fuel consumption.

Four, the impact of the market environment.

For the entire textile industry, exports and consumption in Europe and America will have a huge impact on the industry.

The European debt problem has not been solved, the global economic recession deadlock has not improved, after the trend of panic, the market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic, therefore, the textile market downturn is also expected.

At present, there is a news that Italy's exports to the United States have declined, because the United States consumer product safety rules for light silk fabrics.

At present, textile enterprises have difficulty in receiving orders and large inventory pressure. At the same time, the domestic textile industry will once again fall into a shuffle "mire" and "silver ten" market will be hard to achieve because of many bad factors such as rising labor costs, RMB appreciation, raw material price fluctuations and loan interest rates.

Classified products, Xia Ting, an analyst at PTA, believes that the recent international crude oil market is still in the adjustment market. The PX market continues to decline, and the PTA market is still showing a weak trend of adjustment.

Li Liheng, a lint analyst at the business association, also gave the suggestion of cotton Market: cotton purchasing and storage policy plays an important role in improving the enthusiasm of cotton farmers and avoiding the risk of textile industry. But at present, it is still necessary for textile enterprises to get out of the predicament.

It is predicted that price increases and inflation will increase in the future, and prices will fluctuate upward and upward.