US Inflation Failed To Reach The Fed'S Target
DoubleLine Capital LP chief executive Jeffrey Gundlach said on Thursday that the probability of raising interest rates by the fed during the year is 50%, and the US bond yields will increase in the next 10 years.
The investor with the name of "new debt" manages 95 billion US dollar investment.
As inflation in the US has failed to meet the Fed's target, traders are also lowering the Fed's expectation of raising interest rates in 2016.
The price of interest rate futures contracts shows that the possibility of raising interest rates is basically the same as that of Gundlach, which has decreased significantly from over 90% in January.
Some investors say the Fed will not act within the year.
On Thursday, two people were there.
Policy debate
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank always put forward similar reasons on raising interest rates.
Boston fed bank president Rosengren (Eric Rosengren) and Kansas Federal Reserve Chairman Rosengren (Esther George) speech shows that there is a consensus on the need for action between FOMC hawks and doves.
This year, two of them have the right to vote.
The US Department of Commerce's price index linked to personal spending over the past four years has been lower than the Federal Reserve's 2% target for the past year.
inflation
One of the indicators used.
Data compiled by Bloomberg show that in the past 12 months, the return rate of DoubleLine Core Fixed Income Fund was 2.9%, beating 57% of its rivals.
Yusuke Ito, senior investor at Mizuho Asset Management in Tokyo, said: "
Federal Reserve
The possibility of raising interest rates is definitely zero. I think I am not different from this point of view, and the yield is rising. "
The agency manages about $46 billion in funding.
The volatility of the US bond market is falling with the probability of the US Federal Reserve taking action.
The MOVE index of the Bank of America and Merrill Lynch measures the volatility of US bond prices, which fell to 63.92 before today's blockbuster release of retail sales, PPI and consumer confidence, the lowest level since the end of 2014.
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